St. Louis Blues at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2024-01-26 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 3 - 4 St. Louis Blues

🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)

Win Probability

SEA: 55.8%

STL: 44.2%

Expected Goals

SEA: 3.53

STL: 3.06

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • SEA at home vs STL: 1-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-04	SEA 2 - 3 STL	STL	STL
2026-02-26	STL 5 - 1 SEA	STL	STL
2025-11-08	STL 3 - 4 SEA	SEA	STL
2025-04-12	SEA 4 - 3 STL	SEA	STL
2025-02-25	STL 7 - 2 SEA	STL	STL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	14	0	0.42
1	STL	10	0	0.54
2	SEA	20	1	1.44
2	STL	10	0	0.43
3	SEA	18	0	0.75
3	STL	9	0	0.46
4	SEA	2	0	0.18
4	STL	4	1	0.53

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 3 - 4 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.5 - 3.1