Boston Bruins at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2024-01-27 • Wells Fargo Center

Philadelphia Flyers 2 - 6 Boston Bruins

🚨 Upset Loss (60% underdog)

Win Probability

PHI: 60.1%

BOS: 39.9%

Expected Goals

PHI: 3.02

BOS: 2.61

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 42%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • PHI at home vs BOS: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-05	PHI 2 - 1 BOS	PHI	PHI
2026-02-28	PHI 3 - 1 BOS	PHI	PHI
2026-01-29	BOS 6 - 3 PHI	BOS	BOS
2024-12-07	BOS 4 - 3 PHI	BOS	PHI
2024-11-02	PHI 0 - 3 BOS	BOS	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PHI	14	0	0.69
1	BOS	16	3	1.47
2	PHI	22	0	1.12
2	BOS	11	1	1.14
3	PHI	15	0	1.27
3	BOS	14	1	1.20

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 60.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 5.6

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 2 - 6 Boston Bruins

Expected: 3.0 - 2.6