Buffalo Sabres at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2024-01-27 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 2 - 5 Buffalo Sabres

Win Probability

SJS: 45.6%

BUF: 54.4%

Expected Goals

SJS: 2.86

BUF: 2.99

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 51%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • SJS at home vs BUF: 0-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-19	SJS 0 - 5 BUF	BUF	BUF
2026-03-10	BUF 6 - 3 SJS	BUF	BUF
2025-03-04	BUF 2 - 6 SJS	SJS	BUF
2024-11-23	SJS 2 - 4 BUF	BUF	BUF
2024-01-27	SJS 2 - 5 BUF	BUF	BUF

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	19	1	0.79
1	BUF	19	0	1.10
2	SJS	13	0	0.77
2	BUF	15	3	1.38
3	SJS	14	0	0.56
3	BUF	19	2	1.83

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 2 - 5 Buffalo Sabres

Expected: 2.9 - 3.0