New York Rangers at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions

2024-01-27 • Canadian Tire Centre

Ottawa Senators 2 - 7 New York Rangers

🚨 Upset Loss (66% underdog)

Win Probability

OTT: 66.3%

NYR: 33.7%

Expected Goals

OTT: 3.16

NYR: 2.91

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • OTT at home vs NYR: 2-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-23	NYR 1 - 2 OTT	OTT	OTT
2026-01-14	NYR 4 - 8 OTT	OTT	OTT
2025-12-04	OTT 2 - 4 NYR	NYR	OTT
2025-03-08	OTT 4 - 3 NYR	OTT	OTT
2025-01-21	NYR 5 - 0 OTT	NYR	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	OTT	11	0	0.67
1	NYR	13	0	0.69
2	OTT	18	0	1.00
2	NYR	15	2	1.58
3	OTT	18	0	0.77
3	NYR	11	2	0.85

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 66.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Ottawa Senators 2 - 7 New York Rangers

Expected: 3.2 - 2.9