Florida Panthers at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2024-01-27 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 2 - 3 Florida Panthers

🚨 Upset Loss (59% underdog)

Win Probability

NYI: 59.0%

FLA: 41.0%

Expected Goals

NYI: 2.86

FLA: 3.17

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • NYI at home vs FLA: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	NYI 5 - 2 FLA	NYI	FLA
2026-03-01	NYI 5 - 4 FLA	NYI	FLA
2025-12-07	FLA 4 - 1 NYI	FLA	FLA
2025-03-16	NYI 4 - 2 FLA	NYI	NYI
2025-02-02	FLA 6 - 3 NYI	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	11	0	0.22
1	FLA	8	0	0.25
2	NYI	12	0	0.76
2	FLA	20	1	1.28
3	NYI	15	0	0.47
3	FLA	15	1	0.63
4	NYI	1	0	0.06
4	FLA	4	0	0.31

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 59.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 2 - 3 Florida Panthers

Expected: 2.9 - 3.2