Chicago Blackhawks at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2024-01-27 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 1 - 0 Chicago Blackhawks

Win Probability

CGY: 75.6%

CHI: 24.4%

Expected Goals

CGY: 3.49

CHI: 2.54

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 41%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • CGY at home vs CHI: 3-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-15	CHI 1 - 3 CGY	CGY	CGY
2025-11-18	CHI 5 - 2 CGY	CHI	CGY
2025-11-07	CGY 0 - 4 CHI	CHI	CGY
2025-01-13	CHI 2 - 5 CGY	CGY	CGY
2024-12-21	CGY 6 - 4 CHI	CGY	CGY

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CGY	14	1	0.66
1	CHI	17	1	1.44
2	CGY	17	1	1.02
2	CHI	15	0	0.95
3	CGY	14	1	0.85
3	CHI	14	1	0.52

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 75.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 1.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 1 - 0 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 3.5 - 2.5