Ottawa Senators at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2024-01-31 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 2 - 3 Ottawa Senators

Win Probability

DET: 41.1%

OTT: 58.9%

Expected Goals

DET: 2.82

OTT: 3.46

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • DET at home vs OTT: 2-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-24	DET 2 - 3 OTT	OTT	DET
2026-02-26	OTT 1 - 2 DET	DET	OTT
2026-01-18	DET 4 - 3 OTT	DET	DET
2026-01-05	OTT 3 - 5 DET	DET	OTT
2025-03-27	DET 3 - 4 OTT	OTT	DET

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	9	0	0.55
1	OTT	18	1	1.56
2	DET	22	1	1.45
2	OTT	13	0	0.95
3	DET	14	0	0.74
3	OTT	13	0	0.70
4	DET	0	0	0.00
4	OTT	3	0	0.18

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 2 - 3 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 2.8 - 3.5