Calgary Flames at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions
2024-02-06 • TD Garden
Boston Bruins 1 - 4 Calgary Flames
🚨 Upset Loss (59% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BOS: 58.8%
CGY: 41.2%
Expected Goals
BOS: 3.44
CGY: 2.79
Total Goals
Median: 6.1
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 45%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BOS
Jeremy Swayman - 22-12-3 | 0.903 SV% | 2.92 GAA
CGY
Dustin Wolf - 16-21-3 | 0.895 SV% | 3.00 GAA
| Stat | BOS | CGY |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.903 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.889 | 0.877 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.900 | 0.911 |
| GAA | 2.84 | 2.82 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • BOS at home vs CGY: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-08 | BOS 4 - 1 CGY | BOS | BOS |
| 2025-12-29 | CGY 2 - 1 BOS | CGY | CGY |
| 2024-12-17 | CGY 3 - 4 BOS | BOS | CGY |
| 2024-11-07 | BOS 4 - 3 CGY | BOS | BOS |
| 2024-02-22 | CGY 3 - 2 BOS | CGY | CGY |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:20 | CGY | Goal |
| 1 | 13:01 | CGY | Goal |
| 3 | 04:14 | CGY | Goal |
| 3 | 06:23 | CGY | Goal |
| 3 | 09:44 | CGY | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 58.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Boston Bruins 1 - 4 Calgary Flames
Expected: 3.4 - 2.8