Tampa Bay Lightning at New York Rangers NHL Predictions
2024-02-07 • Madison Square Garden
New York Rangers 3 - 1 Tampa Bay Lightning
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYR: 57.1%
TBL: 42.9%
Expected Goals
NYR: 2.90
TBL: 2.12
Total Goals
Median: 5.0
Over 5.5: 38%
Over 6.5: 25%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • NYR at home vs TBL: 2-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-29 | NYR 1 - 4 TBL | TBL | NYR |
| 2025-11-12 | TBL 3 - 7 NYR | NYR | TBL |
| 2025-04-17 | NYR 4 - 0 TBL | NYR | NYR |
| 2025-04-07 | NYR 1 - 5 TBL | TBL | NYR |
| 2024-12-28 | TBL 6 - 2 NYR | TBL | TBL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 01:15 | NYR | Goal |
| 2 | 17:46 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 05:29 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 18:59 | NYR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 57.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 5.0
Score Breakdown
New York Rangers 3 - 1 Tampa Bay Lightning
Expected: 2.9 - 2.1