Calgary Flames at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions
2024-02-08 • Prudential Center
New Jersey Devils 3 - 5 Calgary Flames
🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NJD: 56.9%
CGY: 43.1%
Expected Goals
NJD: 3.49
CGY: 3.10
Total Goals
Median: 6.5
Over 5.5: 65%
Over 6.5: 50%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NJD
Jacob Markstrom - 15-13-1 | 0.882 SV% | 3.20 GAA
CGY
Dustin Wolf - 16-21-3 | 0.895 SV% | 3.00 GAA
| Stat | NJD | CGY |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.884 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.899 | 0.877 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.955 | — |
| GAA | 3.32 | 2.82 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 20% • NJD at home vs CGY: 0-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 | CGY 1 - 2 NJD | NJD | CGY |
| 2025-03-20 | NJD 3 - 5 CGY | CGY | NJD |
| 2024-11-01 | CGY 3 - 0 NJD | CGY | CGY |
| 2024-02-08 | NJD 3 - 5 CGY | CGY | NJD |
| 2023-12-09 | CGY 2 - 4 NJD | NJD | CGY |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15:39 | NJD | Goal |
| 1 | 18:10 | NJD | Goal |
| 2 | 03:53 | CGY | Goal |
| 3 | 02:55 | CGY | Goal |
| 3 | 04:02 | CGY | Goal |
| 3 | 09:56 | CGY | Goal |
| 3 | 13:46 | CGY | Goal |
| 3 | 18:26 | CGY | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 56.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 6.6
Score Breakdown
New Jersey Devils 3 - 5 Calgary Flames
Expected: 3.5 - 3.1