Tampa Bay Lightning at New York Islanders NHL Predictions
2024-02-08 • UBS Arena
New York Islanders 6 - 2 Tampa Bay Lightning
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYI: 57.2%
TBL: 42.8%
Expected Goals
NYI: 3.00
TBL: 3.26
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 48%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 20-13-2 | 0.916 SV% | 2.44 GAA
TBL
Andrei Vasilevskiy - 27-7-3 | 0.919 SV% | 2.11 GAA
| Stat | NYI | TBL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.930 | 0.932 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.969 | 0.917 |
| GAA | 2.55 | 2.33 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • NYI at home vs TBL: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-13 | NYI 3 - 2 TBL | NYI | NYI |
| 2025-12-06 | TBL 0 - 2 NYI | NYI | TBL |
| 2025-12-02 | NYI 2 - 1 TBL | NYI | NYI |
| 2025-04-01 | NYI 1 - 4 TBL | TBL | NYI |
| 2025-03-29 | TBL 5 - 3 NYI | TBL | TBL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:07 | NYI | Goal |
| 1 | 06:42 | NYI | Goal |
| 1 | 14:07 | NYI | Goal |
| 1 | 18:35 | NYI | Goal |
| 2 | 01:14 | NYI | Goal |
| 2 | 07:10 | NYI | Goal |
| 2 | 08:18 | NYI | Goal |
| 2 | 15:22 | NYI | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 57.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
New York Islanders 6 - 2 Tampa Bay Lightning
Expected: 3.0 - 3.3