Vegas Golden Knights at Arizona Coyotes NHL Predictions
2024-02-08 • Mullett Arena
Arizona Coyotes 2 - 3 Vegas Golden Knights
🚨 Upset Loss (62% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
ARI: 62.5%
VGK: 37.5%
Expected Goals
ARI: 2.96
VGK: 3.07
Total Goals
Median: 5.6
Over 5.5: 52%
Over 6.5: 38%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
ARI
ARI: No goalie data
VGK
Akira Schmid - 16-6-6 | 0.895 SV% | 2.53 GAA
| Stat | ARI | VGK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | — | 0.895 |
| Last 5 SV% | — | 0.891 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | — | 2.50 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • ARI at home vs VGK: 1-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-05 | ARI 7 - 4 VGK | ARI | ARI |
| 2024-02-08 | ARI 2 - 3 VGK | VGK | ARI |
| 2023-11-25 | VGK 0 - 2 ARI | ARI | VGK |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 00:19 | VGK | Goal |
| 1 | 01:17 | VGK | Goal |
| 1 | 04:07 | VGK | Goal |
| 1 | 06:17 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 03:40 | VGK | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 62.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Arizona Coyotes 2 - 3 Vegas Golden Knights
Expected: 3.0 - 3.1