Edmonton Oilers at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions
2024-02-09 • Honda Center
Anaheim Ducks 3 - 5 Edmonton Oilers
🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
ANA: 55.9%
EDM: 44.1%
Expected Goals
ANA: 2.65
EDM: 3.29
Total Goals
Median: 5.5
Over 5.5: 49%
Over 6.5: 35%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
ANA
Lukas Dostal - 21-13-2 | 0.897 SV% | 2.92 GAA
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 15-7-2 | 0.893 SV% | 3.07 GAA
| Stat | ANA | EDM |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.906 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.922 | 0.831 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.873 |
| GAA | 3.15 | 2.73 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • ANA at home vs EDM: 2-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-26 | EDM 7 - 4 ANA | EDM | EDM |
| 2025-04-07 | ANA 3 - 2 EDM | ANA | ANA |
| 2025-03-04 | EDM 2 - 6 ANA | ANA | EDM |
| 2025-01-03 | EDM 3 - 2 ANA | EDM | EDM |
| 2024-12-29 | ANA 5 - 3 EDM | ANA | ANA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18:40 | ANA | Goal |
| 2 | 09:11 | ANA | Goal |
| 2 | 09:40 | ANA | Goal |
| 2 | 12:51 | ANA | Goal |
| 3 | 03:20 | ANA | Goal |
| 3 | 08:41 | ANA | Goal |
| 3 | 10:09 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 18:50 | EDM | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 55.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Anaheim Ducks 3 - 5 Edmonton Oilers
Expected: 2.7 - 3.3