Dallas Stars at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions
2024-02-10 • Centre Bell
Montreal Canadiens 2 - 3 Dallas Stars
🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MTL: 51.3%
DAL: 48.7%
Expected Goals
MTL: 2.68
DAL: 3.26
Total Goals
Median: 5.9
Over 5.5: 53%
Over 6.5: 41%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
MTL
Jakub Dobes - 18-5-4 | 0.892 SV% | 2.96 GAA
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 23-10-4 | 0.897 SV% | 2.73 GAA
| Stat | MTL | DAL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.889 | 0.907 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.903 | 0.860 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.615 | 0.857 |
| GAA | 3.01 | 2.57 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 0% • MTL at home vs DAL: 0-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-04 | DAL 3 - 4 MTL | MTL | DAL |
| 2025-11-13 | MTL 0 - 7 DAL | DAL | MTL |
| 2025-01-16 | DAL 1 - 3 MTL | MTL | DAL |
| 2025-01-11 | MTL 1 - 2 DAL | DAL | MTL |
| 2024-02-10 | MTL 2 - 3 DAL | DAL | MTL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 00:38 | MTL | Goal |
| 2 | 03:51 | MTL | Goal |
| 2 | 04:15 | DAL | Goal |
| 2 | 17:45 | DAL | Goal |
| 2 | 18:37 | DAL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 51.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Montreal Canadiens 2 - 3 Dallas Stars
Expected: 2.7 - 3.3