Tampa Bay Lightning at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions
2024-02-10 • Nationwide Arena
Columbus Blue Jackets 2 - 4 Tampa Bay Lightning
🚨 Upset Loss (61% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CBJ: 60.6%
TBL: 39.4%
Expected Goals
CBJ: 2.98
TBL: 3.07
Total Goals
Median: 5.9
Over 5.5: 54%
Over 6.5: 39%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CBJ
Jet Greaves - 18-12-6 | 0.910 SV% | 2.62 GAA
TBL
Andrei Vasilevskiy - 27-7-3 | 0.919 SV% | 2.11 GAA
| Stat | CBJ | TBL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.909 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.928 | 0.932 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.870 | — |
| GAA | 2.62 | 2.33 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 88% • CBJ at home vs TBL: 4-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-24 | CBJ 8 - 5 TBL | CBJ | CBJ |
| 2025-10-18 | CBJ 3 - 2 TBL | CBJ | CBJ |
| 2025-03-04 | TBL 6 - 2 CBJ | TBL | TBL |
| 2024-12-17 | TBL 5 - 3 CBJ | TBL | TBL |
| 2024-11-21 | CBJ 7 - 6 TBL | CBJ | CBJ |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15:40 | TBL | Goal |
| 2 | 00:49 | TBL | Goal |
| 3 | 19:12 | TBL | Goal |
| 3 | 15:50 | TBL | Goal |
| 3 | 12:22 | TBL | Goal |
| 3 | 00:23 | TBL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 60.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Columbus Blue Jackets 2 - 4 Tampa Bay Lightning
Expected: 3.0 - 3.1