Pittsburgh Penguins at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2024-02-10 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 2 - 1 Pittsburgh Penguins

Win Probability

WPG: 64.7%

PIT: 35.3%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.48

PIT: 3.13

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • WPG at home vs PIT: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-21	PIT 5 - 4 WPG	PIT	PIT
2025-11-01	WPG 5 - 2 PIT	WPG	PIT
2024-11-22	PIT 1 - 4 WPG	WPG	PIT
2024-10-20	WPG 6 - 3 PIT	WPG	WPG
2024-02-10	WPG 2 - 1 PIT	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	17	0	1.12
1	PIT	10	0	0.48
2	WPG	8	0	0.72
2	PIT	22	0	1.33
3	WPG	15	1	1.21
3	PIT	16	0	0.81

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 64.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 2 - 1 Pittsburgh Penguins

Expected: 3.5 - 3.1