Florida Panthers at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions
2024-02-14 • PPG Paints Arena
Pittsburgh Penguins 2 - 5 Florida Panthers
🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PIT: 50.7%
FLA: 49.3%
Expected Goals
PIT: 2.81
FLA: 3.36
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 56%
Over 6.5: 40%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 19-12-5 | 0.890 SV% | 2.79 GAA
FLA
Sergei Bobrovsky - 21-17-1 | 0.871 SV% | 3.13 GAA
| Stat | PIT | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.863 | 0.837 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.921 | 0.706 |
| GAA | 2.91 | 2.80 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 57% • PIT at home vs FLA: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-23 | FLA 3 - 5 PIT | PIT | FLA |
| 2025-03-23 | FLA 4 - 3 PIT | FLA | FLA |
| 2025-01-03 | FLA 3 - 2 PIT | FLA | FLA |
| 2024-12-03 | PIT 5 - 4 FLA | PIT | PIT |
| 2024-02-14 | PIT 2 - 5 FLA | FLA | PIT |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 04:28 | FLA | Goal |
| 2 | 05:02 | FLA | Goal |
| 2 | 08:27 | FLA | Goal |
| 2 | 13:02 | FLA | Goal |
| 2 | 15:24 | FLA | Goal |
| 3 | 05:35 | FLA | Goal |
| 3 | 06:07 | FLA | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 50.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Pittsburgh Penguins 2 - 5 Florida Panthers
Expected: 2.8 - 3.4