Florida Panthers at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions

2024-02-15 • KeyBank Center

Buffalo Sabres 0 - 4 Florida Panthers

🚨 Upset Loss (61% underdog)

Win Probability

BUF: 60.7%

FLA: 39.3%

Expected Goals

BUF: 2.91

FLA: 3.28

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • BUF at home vs FLA: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-27	FLA 2 - 3 BUF	BUF	BUF
2026-02-02	FLA 3 - 5 BUF	BUF	BUF
2026-01-12	BUF 3 - 4 FLA	FLA	FLA
2025-10-18	BUF 3 - 0 FLA	BUF	FLA
2025-04-12	FLA 3 - 2 BUF	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BUF	13	0	0.59
1	FLA	19	1	1.02
2	BUF	19	0	1.05
2	FLA	12	2	1.22
3	BUF	23	1	1.14
3	FLA	14	2	1.98

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 60.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Buffalo Sabres 0 - 4 Florida Panthers

Expected: 2.9 - 3.3