Montreal Canadiens at New York Rangers NHL Predictions
2024-02-15 • Madison Square Garden
New York Rangers 7 - 4 Montreal Canadiens
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYR: 67.2%
MTL: 32.8%
Expected Goals
NYR: 3.83
MTL: 2.63
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 44%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 17-12-4 | 0.913 SV% | 2.45 GAA
MTL
Jakub Dobes - 18-5-4 | 0.892 SV% | 2.96 GAA
| Stat | NYR | MTL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.889 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.942 | 0.903 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.778 | — |
| GAA | 2.51 | 3.01 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 88% • NYR at home vs MTL: 4-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-13 | NYR 5 - 4 MTL | NYR | NYR |
| 2025-10-18 | MTL 3 - 4 NYR | NYR | MTL |
| 2025-01-19 | MTL 5 - 4 NYR | MTL | MTL |
| 2024-11-30 | NYR 4 - 3 MTL | NYR | NYR |
| 2024-10-22 | MTL 2 - 7 NYR | NYR | NYR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14:29 | MTL | Goal |
| 2 | 11:09 | NYR | Goal |
| 2 | 12:27 | NYR | Goal |
| 2 | 14:43 | NYR | Goal |
| 2 | 15:19 | NYR | Goal |
| 2 | 16:30 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 04:23 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 06:53 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 07:59 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 09:56 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 11:27 | NYR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 67.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 11.0
Expected: 6.5
Score Breakdown
New York Rangers 7 - 4 Montreal Canadiens
Expected: 3.8 - 2.6