Anaheim Ducks at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions
2024-02-15 • Canadian Tire Centre
Ottawa Senators 1 - 5 Anaheim Ducks
🚨 Upset Loss (66% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
OTT: 66.3%
ANA: 33.7%
Expected Goals
OTT: 3.91
ANA: 2.79
Total Goals
Median: 6.6
Over 5.5: 65%
Over 6.5: 51%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
OTT
Linus Ullmark - 16-8-5 | 0.884 SV% | 2.86 GAA
ANA
Lukas Dostal - 21-13-2 | 0.897 SV% | 2.92 GAA
| Stat | OTT | ANA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.881 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.882 | 0.922 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.920 | — |
| GAA | 2.95 | 3.15 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • OTT at home vs ANA: 1-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-20 | ANA 2 - 3 OTT | OTT | ANA |
| 2024-12-11 | OTT 5 - 1 ANA | OTT | OTT |
| 2024-12-01 | ANA 4 - 3 OTT | ANA | ANA |
| 2024-03-06 | ANA 2 - 1 OTT | ANA | ANA |
| 2024-02-15 | OTT 1 - 5 ANA | ANA | OTT |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09:19 | ANA | Goal |
| 2 | 17:25 | ANA | Goal |
| 2 | 18:59 | ANA | Goal |
| 3 | 02:18 | ANA | Goal |
| 3 | 04:43 | ANA | Goal |
| 3 | 09:23 | ANA | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 66.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.7
Score Breakdown
Ottawa Senators 1 - 5 Anaheim Ducks
Expected: 3.9 - 2.8