Philadelphia Flyers at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Predictions
2024-02-15 • Scotiabank Arena
Toronto Maple Leafs 4 - 3 Philadelphia Flyers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
TOR: 59.3%
PHI: 40.7%
Expected Goals
TOR: 3.18
PHI: 3.02
Total Goals
Median: 6.1
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 45%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
TOR
Joseph Woll - 13-7-4 | 0.908 SV% | 2.92 GAA
PHI
Dan Vladar - 17-8-6 | 0.905 SV% | 2.47 GAA
| Stat | TOR | PHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.914 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.910 | 0.902 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.857 |
| GAA | 2.74 | 2.40 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • TOR at home vs PHI: 3-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-08 | PHI 1 - 2 TOR | TOR | PHI |
| 2025-11-01 | PHI 2 - 5 TOR | TOR | PHI |
| 2025-03-25 | TOR 7 - 2 PHI | TOR | TOR |
| 2025-01-07 | PHI 2 - 3 TOR | TOR | PHI |
| 2025-01-05 | TOR 3 - 2 PHI | TOR | TOR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 07:42 | PHI | Goal |
| 2 | 11:06 | TOR | Goal |
| 2 | 14:20 | TOR | Goal |
| 2 | 18:55 | TOR | Goal |
| 3 | 14:14 | TOR | Goal |
| 3 | 15:15 | TOR | Goal |
| 4 | 00:54 | TOR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 59.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Toronto Maple Leafs 4 - 3 Philadelphia Flyers
Expected: 3.2 - 3.0