San Jose Sharks at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions
2024-02-15 • Scotiabank Saddledome
Calgary Flames 3 - 6 San Jose Sharks
🚨 Upset Loss (61% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CGY: 60.6%
SJS: 39.4%
Expected Goals
CGY: 3.46
SJS: 2.88
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 63%
Over 6.5: 47%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CGY
Dustin Wolf - 16-21-3 | 0.895 SV% | 3.00 GAA
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 17-15-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.53 GAA
| Stat | CGY | SJS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.896 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.877 | 0.874 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.896 | 0.938 |
| GAA | 2.82 | 3.36 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • CGY at home vs SJS: 5-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | CGY 3 - 2 SJS | CGY | CGY |
| 2025-12-16 | SJS 6 - 3 CGY | SJS | SJS |
| 2025-11-13 | CGY 2 - 0 SJS | CGY | CGY |
| 2025-04-13 | CGY 5 - 2 SJS | CGY | CGY |
| 2025-04-07 | SJS 2 - 3 CGY | CGY | SJS |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:19 | CGY | Goal |
| 2 | 04:52 | CGY | Goal |
| 2 | 07:50 | SJS | Goal |
| 2 | 12:30 | SJS | Goal |
| 2 | 19:40 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 04:38 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 05:15 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 15:30 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 16:40 | SJS | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 60.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Calgary Flames 3 - 6 San Jose Sharks
Expected: 3.5 - 2.9