Dallas Stars at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions
2024-02-15 • Bridgestone Arena
Nashville Predators 2 - 9 Dallas Stars
🚨 Upset Loss (59% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NSH: 59.4%
DAL: 40.6%
Expected Goals
NSH: 3.14
DAL: 3.29
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 62%
Over 6.5: 47%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NSH
Juuse Saros - 21-17-5 | 0.892 SV% | 3.20 GAA
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 23-10-4 | 0.897 SV% | 2.73 GAA
| Stat | NSH | DAL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.897 | 0.907 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.862 | 0.860 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.810 |
| GAA | 2.93 | 2.57 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 20% • NSH at home vs DAL: 1-5
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | NSH 4 - 5 DAL | DAL | NSH |
| 2025-10-26 | NSH 2 - 3 DAL | DAL | NSH |
| 2025-04-16 | NSH 5 - 1 DAL | NSH | NSH |
| 2025-04-03 | DAL 5 - 1 NSH | DAL | DAL |
| 2024-12-12 | DAL 1 - 4 NSH | NSH | DAL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 00:35 | DAL | Goal |
| 1 | 04:27 | DAL | Goal |
| 1 | 12:31 | DAL | Goal |
| 1 | 15:53 | DAL | Goal |
| 2 | 04:40 | DAL | Goal |
| 2 | 09:50 | DAL | Goal |
| 2 | 10:51 | DAL | Goal |
| 2 | 11:21 | DAL | Goal |
| 2 | 19:47 | DAL | Goal |
| 3 | 03:50 | DAL | Goal |
| 3 | 08:50 | DAL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 59.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 11.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Nashville Predators 2 - 9 Dallas Stars
Expected: 3.1 - 3.3