Los Angeles Kings at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions
2024-02-17 • TD Garden
Boston Bruins 4 - 5 Los Angeles Kings
🚨 Upset Loss (59% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BOS: 59.3%
LAK: 40.7%
Expected Goals
BOS: 3.26
LAK: 3.01
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 62%
Over 6.5: 44%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BOS
Jeremy Swayman - 22-12-3 | 0.903 SV% | 2.92 GAA
LAK
Darcy Kuemper - 14-11-9 | 0.900 SV% | 2.59 GAA
| Stat | BOS | LAK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.903 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.889 | 0.866 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.969 | 0.923 |
| GAA | 2.84 | 2.27 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • BOS at home vs LAK: 1-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-21 | LAK 1 - 2 BOS | BOS | LAK |
| 2025-03-23 | LAK 7 - 2 BOS | LAK | LAK |
| 2024-10-12 | BOS 2 - 1 LAK | BOS | BOS |
| 2024-02-17 | BOS 4 - 5 LAK | LAK | BOS |
| 2023-10-21 | LAK 2 - 4 BOS | BOS | LAK |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08:03 | BOS | Goal |
| 1 | 11:02 | BOS | Goal |
| 1 | 14:45 | BOS | Goal |
| 2 | 13:04 | BOS | Goal |
| 2 | 16:38 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 05:51 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 07:12 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 18:25 | BOS | Goal |
| 4 | 04:33 | LAK | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 59.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Boston Bruins 4 - 5 Los Angeles Kings
Expected: 3.3 - 3.0