Anaheim Ducks at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Predictions
2024-02-17 • Scotiabank Arena
Toronto Maple Leafs 9 - 2 Anaheim Ducks
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
TOR: 65.6%
ANA: 34.4%
Expected Goals
TOR: 4.03
ANA: 2.15
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 41%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
TOR
Joseph Woll - 13-7-4 | 0.908 SV% | 2.92 GAA
ANA
Lukas Dostal - 21-13-2 | 0.897 SV% | 2.92 GAA
| Stat | TOR | ANA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.914 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.910 | 0.922 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.74 | 3.15 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • TOR at home vs ANA: 2-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-30 | ANA 2 - 3 TOR | TOR | ANA |
| 2024-12-12 | TOR 3 - 2 ANA | TOR | TOR |
| 2024-02-17 | TOR 9 - 2 ANA | TOR | TOR |
| 2024-01-03 | ANA 1 - 2 TOR | TOR | ANA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:41 | TOR | Goal |
| 1 | 06:06 | TOR | Goal |
| 1 | 10:33 | TOR | Goal |
| 1 | 11:32 | TOR | Goal |
| 1 | 17:37 | TOR | Goal |
| 2 | 00:50 | TOR | Goal |
| 2 | 02:51 | TOR | Goal |
| 2 | 05:39 | TOR | Goal |
| 2 | 17:58 | TOR | Goal |
| 3 | 15:36 | TOR | Goal |
| 3 | 17:54 | TOR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 65.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 11.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Toronto Maple Leafs 9 - 2 Anaheim Ducks
Expected: 4.0 - 2.1