Anaheim Ducks at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions
2024-02-19 • KeyBank Center
Buffalo Sabres 3 - 4 Anaheim Ducks
🚨 Upset Loss (63% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BUF: 62.5%
ANA: 37.5%
Expected Goals
BUF: 3.35
ANA: 2.59
Total Goals
Median: 5.8
Over 5.5: 53%
Over 6.5: 37%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BUF
Alex Lyon - 14-8-3 | 0.913 SV% | 2.72 GAA
ANA
Lukas Dostal - 21-13-2 | 0.897 SV% | 2.92 GAA
| Stat | BUF | ANA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.906 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.934 | 0.922 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.871 |
| GAA | 2.82 | 3.15 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • BUF at home vs ANA: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-10 | BUF 5 - 3 ANA | BUF | BUF |
| 2025-02-25 | BUF 3 - 2 ANA | BUF | BUF |
| 2024-11-22 | ANA 2 - 3 BUF | BUF | ANA |
| 2024-02-19 | BUF 3 - 4 ANA | ANA | BUF |
| 2024-01-23 | ANA 4 - 2 BUF | ANA | ANA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09:07 | BUF | Goal |
| 1 | 10:10 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 08:10 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 11:59 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 14:34 | ANA | Goal |
| 2 | 15:20 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 18:56 | ANA | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 62.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Buffalo Sabres 3 - 4 Anaheim Ducks
Expected: 3.4 - 2.6