Dallas Stars at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions
2024-02-19 • TD Garden
Boston Bruins 4 - 3 Dallas Stars
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BOS: 56.0%
DAL: 44.0%
Expected Goals
BOS: 3.14
DAL: 3.07
Total Goals
Median: 5.9
Over 5.5: 54%
Over 6.5: 41%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BOS
Jeremy Swayman - 22-12-3 | 0.903 SV% | 2.92 GAA
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 23-10-4 | 0.897 SV% | 2.73 GAA
| Stat | BOS | DAL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.903 | 0.907 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.889 | 0.860 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.824 | 0.889 |
| GAA | 2.84 | 2.57 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • BOS at home vs DAL: 1-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-20 | DAL 6 - 2 BOS | DAL | DAL |
| 2024-11-14 | DAL 7 - 2 BOS | DAL | DAL |
| 2024-10-24 | BOS 2 - 5 DAL | DAL | BOS |
| 2024-02-19 | BOS 4 - 3 DAL | BOS | BOS |
| 2023-11-06 | DAL 2 - 3 BOS | BOS | DAL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:01 | BOS | Goal |
| 1 | 11:14 | BOS | Goal |
| 2 | 01:04 | DAL | Goal |
| 2 | 01:32 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 10:44 | DAL | Goal |
| 3 | 18:15 | BOS | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | BOS | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | BOS | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | BOS | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 56.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Boston Bruins 4 - 3 Dallas Stars
Expected: 3.1 - 3.1