Edmonton Oilers at Arizona Coyotes NHL Predictions
2024-02-19 • Mullett Arena
Arizona Coyotes 3 - 6 Edmonton Oilers
🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
ARI: 51.5%
EDM: 48.5%
Expected Goals
ARI: 2.81
EDM: 4.08
Total Goals
Median: 6.6
Over 5.5: 65%
Over 6.5: 51%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
ARI
ARI: No goalie data
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 15-7-2 | 0.893 SV% | 3.07 GAA
| Stat | ARI | EDM |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | — | 0.906 |
| Last 5 SV% | — | 0.831 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | — | 2.73 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • ARI at home vs EDM: 1-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-17 | ARI 5 - 2 EDM | ARI | ARI |
| 2024-04-12 | EDM 2 - 3 ARI | ARI | EDM |
| 2024-02-19 | ARI 3 - 6 EDM | EDM | ARI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:12 | EDM | Goal |
| 1 | 04:15 | ARI | Goal |
| 1 | 06:07 | EDM | Goal |
| 2 | 02:53 | ARI | Goal |
| 2 | 10:52 | ARI | Goal |
| 3 | 04:28 | ARI | Goal |
| 3 | 04:54 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 06:31 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 18:51 | EDM | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 51.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.9
Score Breakdown
Arizona Coyotes 3 - 6 Edmonton Oilers
Expected: 2.8 - 4.1