Nashville Predators at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions
2024-02-20 • T-Mobile Arena
Vegas Golden Knights 3 - 5 Nashville Predators
🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VGK: 54.6%
NSH: 45.4%
Expected Goals
VGK: 2.97
NSH: 3.98
Total Goals
Median: 7.0
Over 5.5: 70%
Over 6.5: 56%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
VGK
Akira Schmid - 16-6-6 | 0.895 SV% | 2.53 GAA
NSH
Juuse Saros - 21-17-5 | 0.892 SV% | 3.20 GAA
| Stat | VGK | NSH |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.895 | 0.897 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.891 | 0.862 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.875 | — |
| GAA | 2.50 | 2.93 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • VGK at home vs NSH: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 | VGK 7 - 2 NSH | VGK | VGK |
| 2025-12-31 | VGK 2 - 4 NSH | NSH | VGK |
| 2025-04-12 | VGK 5 - 3 NSH | VGK | VGK |
| 2025-03-29 | NSH 1 - 3 VGK | VGK | NSH |
| 2025-01-14 | NSH 5 - 3 VGK | NSH | NSH |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 05:35 | NSH | Goal |
| 1 | 14:09 | VGK | Goal |
| 1 | 19:08 | NSH | Goal |
| 2 | 08:04 | NSH | Goal |
| 2 | 15:58 | NSH | Goal |
| 3 | 00:47 | NSH | Goal |
| 3 | 17:01 | NSH | Goal |
| 3 | 18:11 | NSH | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 54.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 6.9
Score Breakdown
Vegas Golden Knights 3 - 5 Nashville Predators
Expected: 3.0 - 4.0