Nashville Predators at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2024-02-20 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 3 - 5 Nashville Predators

Win Probability

VGK: 46.7%

NSH: 53.3%

Expected Goals

VGK: 3.23

NSH: 2.90

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 42%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • VGK at home vs NSH: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-21	NSH 4 - 1 VGK	NSH	NSH
2026-01-17	VGK 7 - 2 NSH	VGK	VGK
2025-12-31	VGK 2 - 4 NSH	NSH	VGK
2025-04-12	VGK 5 - 3 NSH	VGK	VGK
2025-03-29	NSH 1 - 3 VGK	VGK	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VGK	8	0	0.26
1	NSH	20	0	0.91
2	VGK	18	2	1.64
2	NSH	18	1	1.12
3	VGK	8	0	0.73
3	NSH	21	1	1.80

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 3 - 5 Nashville Predators

Expected: 3.2 - 2.9