Toronto Maple Leafs at Arizona Coyotes NHL Predictions
2024-02-21 • Mullett Arena
Arizona Coyotes 3 - 6 Toronto Maple Leafs
🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
ARI: 52.1%
TOR: 47.9%
Expected Goals
ARI: 2.80
TOR: 3.71
Total Goals
Median: 6.1
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 47%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
ARI
ARI: No goalie data
TOR
Joseph Woll - 13-7-4 | 0.908 SV% | 2.92 GAA
| Stat | ARI | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | — | 0.914 |
| Last 5 SV% | — | 0.910 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | — | 2.74 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • ARI at home vs TOR: 0-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-02-29 | TOR 4 - 2 ARI | TOR | TOR |
| 2024-02-21 | ARI 3 - 6 TOR | TOR | ARI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:56 | TOR | Goal |
| 1 | 05:01 | TOR | Goal |
| 1 | 15:27 | TOR | Goal |
| 2 | 04:28 | TOR | Goal |
| 2 | 05:38 | TOR | Goal |
| 2 | 16:07 | TOR | Goal |
| 2 | 19:53 | TOR | Goal |
| 3 | 02:00 | TOR | Goal |
| 3 | 08:24 | TOR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 52.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.5
Score Breakdown
Arizona Coyotes 3 - 6 Toronto Maple Leafs
Expected: 2.8 - 3.7