Boston Bruins at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions
2024-02-21 • Rogers Place
Edmonton Oilers 5 - 6 Boston Bruins
🚨 Upset Loss (61% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
EDM: 61.2%
BOS: 38.8%
Expected Goals
EDM: 3.24
BOS: 3.34
Total Goals
Median: 6.4
Over 5.5: 64%
Over 6.5: 48%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 15-7-2 | 0.893 SV% | 3.07 GAA
BOS
Jeremy Swayman - 22-12-3 | 0.903 SV% | 2.92 GAA
| Stat | EDM | BOS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.906 | 0.903 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.831 | 0.889 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.923 | 0.918 |
| GAA | 2.73 | 2.84 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 17% • EDM at home vs BOS: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-31 | EDM 2 - 6 BOS | BOS | EDM |
| 2025-12-18 | BOS 1 - 3 EDM | EDM | BOS |
| 2025-01-07 | BOS 0 - 4 EDM | EDM | BOS |
| 2024-12-19 | EDM 3 - 2 BOS | EDM | EDM |
| 2024-03-05 | BOS 1 - 2 EDM | EDM | BOS |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:34 | BOS | Goal |
| 1 | 11:40 | EDM | Goal |
| 2 | 00:25 | BOS | Goal |
| 2 | 04:40 | BOS | Goal |
| 2 | 13:57 | BOS | Goal |
| 2 | 15:27 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 06:14 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 07:24 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 12:41 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 13:23 | EDM | Goal |
| 4 | 03:10 | BOS | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 61.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 11.0
Expected: 6.6
Score Breakdown
Edmonton Oilers 5 - 6 Boston Bruins
Expected: 3.2 - 3.3