Colorado Avalanche at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions
2024-02-22 • Little Caesars Arena
Detroit Red Wings 2 - 1 Colorado Avalanche
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DET: 60.9%
COL: 39.1%
Expected Goals
DET: 3.00
COL: 3.01
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 40%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DET
John Gibson - 22-12-2 | 0.904 SV% | 2.62 GAA
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 20-4-5 | 0.912 SV% | 2.30 GAA
| Stat | DET | COL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.893 | 0.919 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.887 | 0.881 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.895 | — |
| GAA | 2.97 | 2.13 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • DET at home vs COL: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-02 | COL 0 - 2 DET | DET | COL |
| 2026-01-31 | DET 0 - 5 COL | COL | DET |
| 2025-03-25 | COL 5 - 2 DET | COL | COL |
| 2024-12-07 | DET 1 - 2 COL | COL | DET |
| 2024-03-06 | COL 7 - 2 DET | COL | COL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 04:48 | COL | Goal |
| 3 | 12:02 | DET | Goal |
| 4 | 03:42 | DET | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 60.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Detroit Red Wings 2 - 1 Colorado Avalanche
Expected: 3.0 - 3.0