New York Rangers at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions
2024-02-22 • Prudential Center
New Jersey Devils 1 - 5 New York Rangers
🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NJD: 55.1%
NYR: 44.9%
Expected Goals
NJD: 3.27
NYR: 3.23
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 62%
Over 6.5: 48%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NJD
Jacob Markstrom - 15-13-1 | 0.882 SV% | 3.20 GAA
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 17-12-4 | 0.913 SV% | 2.45 GAA
| Stat | NJD | NYR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.884 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.899 | 0.942 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 3.32 | 2.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • NJD at home vs NYR: 2-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-05 | NJD 4 - 0 NYR | NJD | NJD |
| 2025-01-09 | NYR 3 - 2 NJD | NYR | NYR |
| 2024-12-23 | NJD 5 - 0 NYR | NJD | NJD |
| 2024-12-02 | NYR 1 - 5 NJD | NJD | NYR |
| 2024-04-03 | NYR 4 - 3 NJD | NYR | NYR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09:14 | NYR | Goal |
| 1 | 17:56 | NYR | Goal |
| 2 | 09:53 | NYR | Goal |
| 2 | 19:20 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 14:29 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 17:53 | NYR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 55.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.5
Score Breakdown
New Jersey Devils 1 - 5 New York Rangers
Expected: 3.3 - 3.2