New York Islanders at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions
2024-02-22 • Enterprise Center
St. Louis Blues 4 - 0 New York Islanders
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
STL: 57.6%
NYI: 42.4%
Expected Goals
STL: 2.79
NYI: 3.31
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 44%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
STL
Jordan Binnington - 8-17-6 | 0.864 SV% | 3.65 GAA
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 20-13-2 | 0.916 SV% | 2.44 GAA
| Stat | STL | NYI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.869 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.826 | 0.930 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.967 | 0.909 |
| GAA | 3.56 | 2.55 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • STL at home vs NYI: 2-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-22 | NYI 1 - 2 STL | STL | NYI |
| 2024-11-23 | NYI 3 - 1 STL | NYI | NYI |
| 2024-10-17 | STL 1 - 0 NYI | STL | STL |
| 2024-03-05 | NYI 4 - 2 STL | NYI | NYI |
| 2024-02-22 | STL 4 - 0 NYI | STL | STL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 04:38 | STL | Goal |
| 2 | 04:45 | STL | Goal |
| 2 | 05:10 | STL | Goal |
| 3 | 09:21 | STL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 57.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
St. Louis Blues 4 - 0 New York Islanders
Expected: 2.8 - 3.3