Buffalo Sabres at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions
2024-02-23 • Nationwide Arena
Columbus Blue Jackets 1 - 2 Buffalo Sabres
🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CBJ: 58.5%
BUF: 41.5%
Expected Goals
CBJ: 3.02
BUF: 2.66
Total Goals
Median: 5.7
Over 5.5: 52%
Over 6.5: 37%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CBJ
Jet Greaves - 18-12-6 | 0.910 SV% | 2.62 GAA
BUF
Alex Lyon - 14-8-3 | 0.913 SV% | 2.72 GAA
| Stat | CBJ | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.909 | 0.906 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.928 | 0.934 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.944 | 0.897 |
| GAA | 2.62 | 2.82 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • CBJ at home vs BUF: 3-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-03 | CBJ 5 - 1 BUF | CBJ | CBJ |
| 2025-10-28 | BUF 3 - 4 CBJ | CBJ | BUF |
| 2025-04-10 | CBJ 3 - 2 BUF | CBJ | CBJ |
| 2025-02-04 | BUF 3 - 2 CBJ | BUF | BUF |
| 2024-10-17 | CBJ 6 - 4 BUF | CBJ | CBJ |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12:05 | CBJ | Goal |
| 1 | 16:16 | CBJ | Goal |
| 3 | 03:05 | BUF | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 58.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 5.7
Score Breakdown
Columbus Blue Jackets 1 - 2 Buffalo Sabres
Expected: 3.0 - 2.7