Minnesota Wild at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions
2024-02-23 • Rogers Place
Edmonton Oilers 2 - 4 Minnesota Wild
🚨 Upset Loss (60% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
EDM: 59.8%
MIN: 40.2%
Expected Goals
EDM: 3.20
MIN: 3.01
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 43%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 15-7-2 | 0.893 SV% | 3.07 GAA
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 20-9-6 | 0.906 SV% | 2.64 GAA
| Stat | EDM | MIN |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.906 | 0.912 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.831 | 0.895 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.872 | 0.933 |
| GAA | 2.73 | 2.47 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • EDM at home vs MIN: 1-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | EDM 3 - 7 MIN | MIN | EDM |
| 2025-12-20 | MIN 5 - 2 EDM | MIN | MIN |
| 2025-12-02 | EDM 0 - 1 MIN | MIN | EDM |
| 2025-01-15 | MIN 3 - 5 EDM | EDM | MIN |
| 2024-12-12 | MIN 1 - 7 EDM | EDM | MIN |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19:37 | MIN | Goal |
| 2 | 10:27 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 09:31 | MIN | Goal |
| 3 | 12:18 | MIN | Goal |
| 3 | 14:51 | MIN | Goal |
| 3 | 18:33 | MIN | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 59.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Edmonton Oilers 2 - 4 Minnesota Wild
Expected: 3.2 - 3.0