New York Rangers at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions
2024-02-24 • Wells Fargo Center
Philadelphia Flyers 1 - 2 New York Rangers
🚨 Upset Loss (54% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PHI: 54.4%
NYR: 45.6%
Expected Goals
PHI: 2.97
NYR: 2.83
Total Goals
Median: 5.6
Over 5.5: 51%
Over 6.5: 35%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PHI
Dan Vladar - 17-8-6 | 0.905 SV% | 2.47 GAA
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 17-12-4 | 0.913 SV% | 2.45 GAA
| Stat | PHI | NYR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.902 | 0.942 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.875 |
| GAA | 2.40 | 2.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • PHI at home vs NYR: 1-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 | PHI 3 - 6 NYR | NYR | PHI |
| 2025-12-20 | NYR 5 - 4 PHI | NYR | NYR |
| 2025-04-09 | NYR 5 - 8 PHI | PHI | NYR |
| 2025-01-23 | NYR 6 - 1 PHI | NYR | NYR |
| 2024-11-29 | PHI 3 - 1 NYR | PHI | PHI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 11:56 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 02:36 | PHI | Goal |
| 3 | 06:31 | NYR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 54.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 5.8
Score Breakdown
Philadelphia Flyers 1 - 2 New York Rangers
Expected: 3.0 - 2.8