Washington Capitals at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions
2024-02-24 • Amerant Bank Arena
Florida Panthers 3 - 2 Washington Capitals
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
FLA: 66.2%
WSH: 33.8%
Expected Goals
FLA: 3.12
WSH: 2.32
Total Goals
Median: 5.4
Over 5.5: 49%
Over 6.5: 34%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
FLA
Sergei Bobrovsky - 21-17-1 | 0.871 SV% | 3.13 GAA
WSH
Logan Thompson - 19-16-4 | 0.912 SV% | 2.45 GAA
| Stat | FLA | WSH |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.837 | 0.894 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.889 | 0.857 |
| GAA | 2.80 | 2.39 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • FLA at home vs WSH: 4-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 | WSH 2 - 5 FLA | FLA | WSH |
| 2025-12-29 | FLA 5 - 3 WSH | FLA | FLA |
| 2025-11-13 | FLA 6 - 3 WSH | FLA | FLA |
| 2025-03-22 | WSH 6 - 3 FLA | WSH | WSH |
| 2025-02-04 | WSH 6 - 3 FLA | WSH | WSH |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 04:03 | FLA | Goal |
| 2 | 18:31 | FLA | Goal |
| 3 | 10:11 | WSH | Goal |
| 3 | 16:30 | FLA | Goal |
| 4 | 03:41 | FLA | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 66.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.4
Score Breakdown
Florida Panthers 3 - 2 Washington Capitals
Expected: 3.1 - 2.3