Dallas Stars at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions
2024-02-24 • PNC Arena
Carolina Hurricanes 1 - 2 Dallas Stars
🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CAR: 57.1%
DAL: 42.9%
Expected Goals
CAR: 3.05
DAL: 2.51
Total Goals
Median: 5.5
Over 5.5: 50%
Over 6.5: 36%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 23-3-1 | 0.906 SV% | 2.16 GAA
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 23-10-4 | 0.897 SV% | 2.73 GAA
| Stat | CAR | DAL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.907 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.915 | 0.860 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.895 | 0.837 |
| GAA | 2.33 | 2.57 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CAR at home vs DAL: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-06 | CAR 6 - 3 DAL | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-10-25 | DAL 3 - 2 CAR | DAL | DAL |
| 2025-01-21 | DAL 1 - 2 CAR | CAR | DAL |
| 2024-11-25 | CAR 6 - 4 DAL | CAR | CAR |
| 2024-02-24 | CAR 1 - 2 DAL | DAL | CAR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16:38 | DAL | Goal |
| 2 | 02:16 | CAR | Goal |
| 2 | 08:15 | DAL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 57.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 5.6
Score Breakdown
Carolina Hurricanes 1 - 2 Dallas Stars
Expected: 3.1 - 2.5