Arizona Coyotes at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Predictions
2024-02-29 • Scotiabank Arena
Toronto Maple Leafs 4 - 2 Arizona Coyotes
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
TOR: 63.1%
ARI: 36.9%
Expected Goals
TOR: 3.49
ARI: 2.71
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 46%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
TOR
Joseph Woll - 13-7-4 | 0.908 SV% | 2.92 GAA
ARI
ARI: No goalie data
| Stat | TOR | ARI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.914 | — |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.910 | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.74 | — |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • TOR at home vs ARI: 1-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-02-29 | TOR 4 - 2 ARI | TOR | TOR |
| 2024-02-21 | ARI 3 - 6 TOR | TOR | ARI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13:04 | TOR | Goal |
| 2 | 01:05 | TOR | Goal |
| 2 | 13:12 | TOR | Goal |
| 2 | 14:39 | TOR | Goal |
| 3 | 09:52 | TOR | Goal |
| 3 | 19:00 | TOR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 63.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Toronto Maple Leafs 4 - 2 Arizona Coyotes
Expected: 3.5 - 2.7