Anaheim Ducks at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions
2024-02-29 • SAP Center at San Jose
San Jose Sharks 4 - 6 Anaheim Ducks
🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SJS: 56.9%
ANA: 43.1%
Expected Goals
SJS: 3.12
ANA: 3.80
Total Goals
Median: 6.5
Over 5.5: 67%
Over 6.5: 49%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 17-15-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.53 GAA
ANA
Lukas Dostal - 22-13-2 | 0.895 SV% | 2.98 GAA
| Stat | SJS | ANA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.896 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.874 | 0.904 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.872 | 0.556 |
| GAA | 3.36 | 3.15 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • SJS at home vs ANA: 1-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-29 | ANA 4 - 5 SJS | SJS | ANA |
| 2025-10-11 | SJS 6 - 7 ANA | ANA | ANA |
| 2025-04-01 | ANA 4 - 3 SJS | ANA | ANA |
| 2024-10-22 | ANA 3 - 1 SJS | ANA | ANA |
| 2024-10-12 | SJS 0 - 2 ANA | ANA | SJS |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:47 | SJS | Goal |
| 1 | 03:07 | SJS | Goal |
| 1 | 04:37 | ANA | Goal |
| 2 | 05:18 | ANA | Goal |
| 2 | 10:26 | ANA | Goal |
| 2 | 15:40 | SJS | Goal |
| 2 | 17:35 | ANA | Goal |
| 2 | 18:41 | ANA | Goal |
| 3 | 09:30 | ANA | Goal |
| 3 | 19:36 | ANA | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 56.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 10.0
Expected: 6.9
Score Breakdown
San Jose Sharks 4 - 6 Anaheim Ducks
Expected: 3.1 - 3.8