Arizona Coyotes at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions
2024-03-01 • Canadian Tire Centre
Ottawa Senators 3 - 5 Arizona Coyotes
🚨 Upset Loss (63% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
OTT: 63.4%
ARI: 36.6%
Expected Goals
OTT: 3.63
ARI: 2.85
Total Goals
Median: 6.6
Over 5.5: 64%
Over 6.5: 51%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
OTT
Linus Ullmark - 16-8-5 | 0.884 SV% | 2.86 GAA
ARI
ARI: No goalie data
| Stat | OTT | ARI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.881 | — |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.882 | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.95 | — |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • OTT at home vs ARI: 0-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-01 | OTT 3 - 5 ARI | ARI | OTT |
| 2023-12-19 | ARI 4 - 3 OTT | ARI | ARI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 07:31 | ARI | Goal |
| 1 | 12:39 | ARI | Goal |
| 1 | 15:37 | ARI | Goal |
| 1 | 18:09 | ARI | Goal |
| 2 | 13:49 | ARI | Goal |
| 2 | 15:52 | OTT | Goal |
| 3 | 04:18 | ARI | Goal |
| 3 | 18:45 | ARI | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 63.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 6.5
Score Breakdown
Ottawa Senators 3 - 5 Arizona Coyotes
Expected: 3.6 - 2.8