New Jersey Devils at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2024-03-01 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 4 - 3 New Jersey Devils

🚨 Upset Win (58% underdog)

Win Probability

ANA: 41.5%

NJD: 58.5%

Expected Goals

ANA: 2.84

NJD: 2.91

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • ANA at home vs NJD: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-13	NJD 4 - 1 ANA	NJD	NJD
2025-11-02	ANA 4 - 1 NJD	ANA	ANA
2024-12-31	ANA 3 - 2 NJD	ANA	ANA
2024-10-27	NJD 6 - 2 ANA	NJD	NJD
2024-03-01	ANA 4 - 3 NJD	ANA	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	9	0	0.58
1	NJD	26	2	2.33
2	ANA	11	1	0.61
2	NJD	18	0	0.69
3	ANA	10	1	0.66
3	NJD	26	1	1.96

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 58.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.7

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 4 - 3 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 2.8 - 2.9