Winnipeg Jets at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions
2024-03-02 • PNC Arena
Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 5 Winnipeg Jets
🚨 Upset Loss (61% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CAR: 60.5%
WPG: 39.5%
Expected Goals
CAR: 3.14
WPG: 2.95
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 44%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 23-3-1 | 0.906 SV% | 2.16 GAA
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 13-16-7 | 0.900 SV% | 2.79 GAA
| Stat | CAR | WPG |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.907 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.915 | 0.879 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.902 | — |
| GAA | 2.33 | 2.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CAR at home vs WPG: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-28 | CAR 5 - 1 WPG | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-11-21 | WPG 3 - 4 CAR | CAR | WPG |
| 2025-03-09 | CAR 4 - 2 WPG | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-02-04 | WPG 3 - 0 CAR | WPG | WPG |
| 2024-03-02 | CAR 3 - 5 WPG | WPG | CAR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 10:12 | CAR | Goal |
| 2 | 15:54 | CAR | Goal |
| 2 | 19:12 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 01:36 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 03:02 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 05:40 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 16:47 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 19:49 | WPG | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 60.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 5 Winnipeg Jets
Expected: 3.1 - 2.9