Boston Bruins at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2024-03-02 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 5 - 1 Boston Bruins

🚨 Upset Win (52% underdog)

Win Probability

NYI: 47.6%

BOS: 52.4%

Expected Goals

NYI: 3.07

BOS: 3.31

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • NYI at home vs BOS: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-26	NYI 1 - 3 BOS	BOS	NYI
2025-11-04	NYI 3 - 4 BOS	BOS	NYI
2025-10-28	BOS 5 - 2 NYI	BOS	NYI
2025-02-27	BOS 1 - 2 NYI	NYI	NYI
2025-01-05	BOS 4 - 5 NYI	NYI	NYI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	16	1	1.55
1	BOS	10	0	0.47
2	NYI	14	1	1.09
2	BOS	10	0	0.45
3	NYI	4	0	0.25
3	BOS	12	1	0.92

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 5 - 1 Boston Bruins

Expected: 3.1 - 3.3