Colorado Avalanche at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions
2024-03-02 • Bridgestone Arena
Nashville Predators 5 - 1 Colorado Avalanche
🚨 Upset Win (59% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NSH: 41.1%
COL: 58.9%
Expected Goals
NSH: 2.37
COL: 3.21
Total Goals
Median: 5.7
Over 5.5: 60%
Over 6.5: 43%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • NSH at home vs COL: 5-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-16 | COL 3 - 7 NSH | NSH | COL |
| 2025-12-13 | COL 4 - 2 NSH | COL | COL |
| 2025-12-09 | NSH 4 - 3 COL | NSH | COL |
| 2025-11-22 | NSH 0 - 3 COL | COL | COL |
| 2025-02-22 | NSH 2 - 1 COL | NSH | COL |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NSH | 16 | 0 | 0.86 |
| 1 | COL | 11 | 1 | 0.51 |
| 2 | NSH | 14 | 0 | 0.92 |
| 2 | COL | 10 | 0 | 0.76 |
| 3 | NSH | 24 | 2 | 2.06 |
| 3 | COL | 12 | 0 | 0.62 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 58.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 5.6
Score Breakdown
Nashville Predators 5 - 1 Colorado Avalanche
Expected: 2.4 - 3.2
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