Vegas Golden Knights at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions
2024-03-02 • KeyBank Center
Buffalo Sabres 7 - 2 Vegas Golden Knights
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BUF: 61.3%
VGK: 38.7%
Expected Goals
BUF: 3.55
VGK: 2.68
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 44%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BUF
Alex Lyon - 15-8-3 | 0.913 SV% | 2.69 GAA
VGK
Akira Schmid - 16-7-6 | 0.895 SV% | 2.55 GAA
| Stat | BUF | VGK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.906 | 0.895 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.924 | 0.885 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.82 | 2.50 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 75% • BUF at home vs VGK: 2-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-15 | BUF 4 - 3 VGK | BUF | BUF |
| 2025-01-04 | VGK 3 - 1 BUF | VGK | VGK |
| 2024-03-02 | BUF 7 - 2 VGK | BUF | BUF |
| 2023-12-15 | VGK 2 - 5 BUF | BUF | VGK |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:55 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 14:46 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 04:28 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 01:46 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 00:54 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 17:12 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 12:18 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 06:26 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 02:20 | BUF | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 61.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Buffalo Sabres 7 - 2 Vegas Golden Knights
Expected: 3.5 - 2.7