Vegas Golden Knights at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions

2024-03-02 • KeyBank Center

Buffalo Sabres 7 - 2 Vegas Golden Knights

Win Probability

BUF: 60.6%

VGK: 39.4%

Expected Goals

BUF: 3.59

VGK: 2.94

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • BUF at home vs VGK: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-17	VGK 0 - 2 BUF	BUF	VGK
2026-03-03	BUF 3 - 2 VGK	BUF	VGK
2025-03-15	BUF 4 - 3 VGK	BUF	VGK
2025-01-04	VGK 3 - 1 BUF	VGK	VGK
2024-03-02	BUF 7 - 2 VGK	BUF	BUF

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BUF	14	0	0.46
1	VGK	12	0	0.70
2	BUF	24	3	1.81
2	VGK	13	1	0.94
3	BUF	16	0	0.84
3	VGK	8	1	0.68

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Buffalo Sabres 7 - 2 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 3.6 - 2.9