Florida Panthers at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2024-03-02 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 0 - 4 Florida Panthers

Win Probability

DET: 35.1%

FLA: 64.9%

Expected Goals

DET: 2.77

FLA: 3.53

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 42%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • DET at home vs FLA: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-15	FLA 8 - 1 DET	FLA	FLA
2026-03-10	FLA 4 - 3 DET	FLA	FLA
2026-03-06	DET 1 - 3 FLA	FLA	DET
2025-10-15	DET 4 - 1 FLA	DET	FLA
2025-04-10	FLA 4 - 1 DET	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	13	1	0.95
1	FLA	16	0	0.57
2	DET	11	0	0.85
2	FLA	15	4	1.83
3	DET	9	1	0.89
3	FLA	24	1	1.81

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 64.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 0 - 4 Florida Panthers

Expected: 2.8 - 3.5