San Jose Sharks at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions
2024-03-02 • American Airlines Center
Dallas Stars 3 - 2 San Jose Sharks
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DAL: 67.2%
SJS: 32.8%
Expected Goals
DAL: 4.12
SJS: 2.43
Total Goals
Median: 6.3
Over 5.5: 63%
Over 6.5: 47%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 24-10-4 | 0.898 SV% | 2.71 GAA
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 18-16-2 | 0.887 SV% | 3.53 GAA
| Stat | DAL | SJS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | 0.896 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.866 | 0.867 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.926 | 0.870 |
| GAA | 2.57 | 3.36 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • DAL at home vs SJS: 4-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-10 | SJS 5 - 4 DAL | SJS | SJS |
| 2025-12-18 | SJS 3 - 5 DAL | DAL | SJS |
| 2025-12-05 | DAL 4 - 1 SJS | DAL | DAL |
| 2025-02-08 | SJS 3 - 8 DAL | DAL | SJS |
| 2024-11-20 | DAL 5 - 2 SJS | DAL | DAL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:39 | SJS | Goal |
| 2 | 03:08 | DAL | Goal |
| 2 | 17:08 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 04:08 | DAL | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | DAL | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | DAL | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | DAL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 67.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.6
Score Breakdown
Dallas Stars 3 - 2 San Jose Sharks
Expected: 4.1 - 2.4