BUF vs WPG - 2024-03-03
2024-03-03 • KeyBank Center
BUF 2 - 5 WPG
🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BUF: 51.2%
WPG: 48.8%
Expected Goals
BUF: 3.29
WPG: 3.00
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 44%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BUF
Alex Lyon - 10-6-3 | 0.906 SV% | 2.82 GAA
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 10-12-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.70 GAA
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17:33 | BUF | Goal |
| 1 | 19:54 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 09:20 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 10:38 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 13:55 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 18:39 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 19:06 | WPG | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 51.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
BUF 2 - 5 WPG
Expected: 3.3 - 3.0